On biodiesel, feedstock, and production as a service.

February 8th, 2010

This week the National Biodiesel Boards annual conference will be held in Texas.

With last week’s release of the EPA’s final rules related to RFS 2, a biodiesel mandate will be in place this year.  I suppose a good deal of time will be spent discussing the mandate, the future of renewable identification numbers (RINS), and the current situation with the lapsed excise tax credit.

But whether or not a new mandate is in place or the excise tax credit returns, the core industry problem remains; feedstock.

The life blood of any biodiesel production plant is feedstock. Whatever the feedstock, be it virgin vegetable oil, yellow or brown grease, or animal tallow, in general it must be tracked and prepared for its future conversion to methyl esters.

Feedstock represents the majority of the cost of operation, and its secure and consistent acquisition is a daily challenge. Preparing the oil in a way that facilitates its consistent conversion requires the development and maturation of a carefully coordinated system of processes and practices that allow incoming oil to be collected, cataloged, tested, categorized, filtered, de-watered, neutralized, at times blended, and stored prior to processing.

Promethean is fortunate to have a relatively large facility space, but early  decisions made about our approach to storage has meant that the focus here is on high throughput.

It is easy to build excessive capacity in the biofuels arena and it is more important to conserve cash at startup than to spend it on potential future capacity. The issue here is that we have recently been approached by groups or organizations that want us to stretch the limits of our capacity. Although I am a proponent of service delivery based on just in time manufacture, in this industry issues related to transportation are relatively common, and it is best to have a cushion for problems that may arise from timing or the myriad other things that can interfere with the scheduled drop off of feedstock or pick up of finished product.

I am not conservative. I am a risk taker. The proof of the latter is my participation in this industry.

Feedstock prices in California remain high, and may remain so over the next few months.

At Promethean we view the production of biodiesel first and foremost as a service. This view means that we must constantly explore ways to add value to our customers as well as reduce the costs related to production. Focusing on manufacturing as a service has other consequents as well, some yet to be discovered.

As it stands, an increased level of vertical integration is required in our collection approach and infrastructure, since it is obvious that without the ability to obtain some percentage of the feedstock required for production we cannot sustain-ably render our services in the long term.

Problems are opportunities, and the feedstock problem for a plant of our scale is easily solved with hard work, a commitment to service, and time.

Make it a better place!

Todd

Signs of maturity.

January 31st, 2010

This weekend a bunch of people volunteered to help us modernize the office. Tasks included removing carpet that had been glued down in the late 70’s or early 80’s, removing ceiling tiles to expose the bare bones of the ceiling rafters, as well as removing various wires left  over from projects both strange and mysterious.

It was incredible to see everyone working together, young and old, lending hearts and hands to help.

I may not have mentioned this before, but I am a new to the area, and have spent a good deal of time trying to make friends and influence people.

So much time is spent on plant building and making improvements that a “beautification” project on the front office seemed to me a really low priority before we started. But as we worked together throughout the day, hauling out carpet remnants, scraping glue off the floor, and stacking ceiling tiles, I began to realize how important this event was as a symbol of growth and as a step toward maturing the cooperative.

Of course, when we started the project it seemed pretty straightforward. We still have a good deal of work left to do, including scraping glue and painting walls.

At least the hardest part is over; convincing me that this was something worth doing I believe will really pay off.

Make it a better place!

Todd

The first post of the new year!

January 13th, 2010

2010. A new year. Almost everything seems possible; everything except the passage of the biodiesel blenders credit renewal.

Everyone I have spoken to seems certain that the credit will be reinstated in a retroactive fashion. I’m pretty certain.

In an interview published in the Wisconsin Ag Connection Michael Frohlich, the NBB’s Director of Federal Communication, was quoted as saying “Pretty much every plant is idle.”

Strangely enough, things do not feel very idle at Promethean. I believe the same may be true for the majority of small poducers I have spoken to.

Oil prices seem to have remained steady.

The big news is related to RFS2. I called the EPA on Monday in the hopes of getting an updated status on the progress of the rulemaking as well as some sort of advanced information on what may be included that would interest the biodiesel industry. I received nothing more than a statement that sounded pre-canned saying that the rules would be out soon. The rest was classified, or as close to classified as the EPA gets.

RFS2 is potentially an industry game-changer. Optimistic estimates place final rule implementation sometime in the Spring of 2010.

We have been working on MRU’s (Methanol Recovery Units) this month, primarily on design/build projects for other plants.

Strangely enough I almost always fall in love with the things we build, and really hate seeing them go into service somewhere else. So much time and energy goes into the design and fabrication, and we view our equipment not only in the sense of its utility and efficiency of performing its function but also as a quasi-artistic endeavor and the opportunity to demonstrate good old-fashioned American ingenuity.

This year, with all its promise, may be more challenging for the biodiesel industry than the last.

RFS 2 will bring new compliance challenges, and organizations will need to adapt their business processes appropriately. Lack of a tax credit may make it difficult for existing producers to maintain profitability, or maintain staffing levels. It may alos be an opportunity for new entrants to carve out a niche in makets that may have been dominated by large but credit dependent competitors.

Only time will tell.

Make it a better place!

Todd

Senate Delays 2010 Biodiesel Tax Credit Extension Vote

December 19th, 2009

The New York Times report issued on December 18th does more than suggest a delay of the Senate taking on the tax credit extension, tabling the matter until some time next year.

If not approved this year, the earliest the Senate can calendar this item would be the middle of January.

The full article can be found here.

It remains to be seen how a credit delay will affect the industry. The portents of doom and gloom abound for larger producers according to the NBB.

The truth remains to be seen.

Make it a better place,

Todd

House passes 2010 biodiesel tax credit. What now?

December 13th, 2009

I believe most of you reading this are already aware that the House passed H.R. 4213, a tax extension package that included a 1 year extension of the biodiesel tax credit for blenders.

It is now a near certainty that S.1589 and H.R. 4070 will not be voted on this year, which is unfortunate since these legislative initiatives included a 5-year producer credit mandate which would be a tremendous positive for producers and an aggressive move towards stabilizing the industry.

Although H.R. 4213 easily passed the House (with a vote of 241 yeas to 181 nays), it is still possible that the legislation will not pass the Senate this year. As of today, the current Senate calendar is only updated to the 14th of December. With the health bill the current top priority, it is quite possible that the extension provisions will not be heard and addressed until early January 2010.

The bill has been referred to the Senate Committee on Finance, where it will ostensibly determined what the net economic effect of the bill passage would be.

Make it a better place,

Todd

Promethean wins ‘green’ award

December 6th, 2009

Promethean joined in excess of 250 California businesses and nonprofits recognized for their “innovative, environmentally friendly programs and policies” named as recipients of the 2009 Waste Reduction Awards Program, also known as the WRAP Award.

The California Integrated Waste Management Board issued news release stated that, “This year’s honorees have diverted more than 2 million tons of materials annually from local landfills… and their… efforts have improved their balance sheets through savings of $150 million in operating costs.”

Other prominent recipients include Mercedes Benz USA, BAE Systems Controls, Cardinal Health, Robert Bosch, and Toyota Motor Sales.

Matt Wrye writes for The Bizz blog. His post can be found here:

Some thoughts on the passing year and the year ahead.

November 28th, 2009

On a recent trip to the north of Mexico I was asked to speak to a group of businessmen and governmental leaders about the opportunities that exist in latin America to create and mature a biofuels industry. I had developed a short version of a much longer presentation to discuss with them the various lessons that the United States had to offer in its recent attempts to support a sustainable, national, biofuels sector.

I was scheduled to speak for a mere 45 minute but, by the time I was forced to end the discussion to make a scheduled flight leaving that afternoon, nearly 3 hours had passed.

A large portion of my talk had centered on what I affectionately call the American Biofuels Fiasco. As most in the biofuels sector can tell you, for the majority of producers, distributors, and marketers, things in the last two years have not gone acording to plan.

There are many reasons the sector has struggled , some forseeable, some not so, but all agree that uncertainty around congressional renewal of the credit subsidy has been a contributing factor in deterring investment in new and existing projects, feedstock limitations will continue to be an industry concern, and many facilities built have capacities far in excess of their hopes to secure adequate capital or feedstock to run efficiently.

The next year will likely bring new models to production, some changes to production technology emphases, and hopefully changes to the longevity of credit subsidies. These are all good things.

But most importantly the next year provides those of us still standing with the opportunity to implement changes to the way we do things based upon the lessons learned and wisdom gained from the past year.

For those of us at Promethean this past year has flown. The lessons have been plentiful, and some have come harder than others.

Small is better; wherever you plan to place a 90 you’re better off with a ‘T’; you can’t build a plant that is dependant upon subsidies for its continued operation; good interns are a precious gift (and difficult to find); most quality problems can be solved economically.

The list goes on.

For all of you industry insiders out there I wish all of you the best of luck and much success in the coming year.

Make it a better place!

Todd

RFS 2 Rumour Mill

November 11th, 2009

The EPA is getting closer to final decision making related to the new set of rules slated for implementation in RFS 2 (renewable Fuel Standard v2).

Rumors abound, but I do have some interesting tidbits related to some of the biodiesel producer requirements that seem sure to become fact.

The first is that biodiesel producers everywhere will be required to re-register their facilities.  This re-registration may require a plant engineering review, ostensibly to ascertain the ability of a plant to actually produce ASTM quality fuel. This requirement may also be an attempt for the EPA to regain a certain amount of credibility as well as limit the currently overwhelming number of new producer registrations.

Another item that seems to be the next sure thing is that the future EPA hosted RIN tracking system will be added as a module to the current Central Data Exchange (CDX) registry system. I would suggest that any producers out there may want to check the accuracy of their CDX records sooner rather than later.

Make it a better place.

Todd

Uncertainty Surrounds Biodiesel Tax Credit Renewal for 2010

October 31st, 2009

The biofuels sector is becoming increasingly skittish about the status of alternative fuels tax credit extensions for 2010. For the biodiesel and ethanol sectors, these credit offsets currently equate to $1.00 per gallon (U.S.) and are seen by the majority of producers as essential for the continuance of their respective industries.

The timing here is especially critical, since the credits expire at year end. With Congress currently fully engrossed in the universal healthcare debate, every day that passes seems to herald that the credit extensions will not happen this year. Most of the people I have spoken to regarding this issue, as well as some of the folks at NBB, seem to agree that it is unlikely that an eleventh hour credit extension will occur. Some offer that it is more likely that some sort of retroactive extension will pass through the halls of Congress in the first or second quarter of the 2010.

Of course, a passage of a retroactively applicable credit extension may not heal the wounds inflicted to the industry in todays economic climate.

Some producers may not be able to raise sufficient capital to survive to see the first quarter and may be forced to cease production permanently as their credit problems worsen or their principal investors seek the certainty of taking a known loss today versus increasing the amount of capital they have at risk for the future prospect of a retroactive extension.

And of course, even the extension of the future may change as current proposals seek to make the biofuels producer eligible for the credit and not the blender, as is currently the case in the biodiesel sector.

We shall all just have to wait and see what happens next.

Make it a better place.

Todd

Biodiesel….Great as a fuel! Better as a fuel additive?

September 30th, 2009

Over the last few months I have spoken to a variety of stakeholders in the biodiesel community about the realities that inhibit the adoption of biodiesel as a neat, standalone, fuel in favor of its use as a fuel additive.

I started these conversations after I arrived at the conclusion that, in the near term, biodiesel’s current position in the marketplace as a fuel additive will most likely be its longer term position in the markets until we see the arrival of new feedstock technologies and a change in the legislative and regulatory climate.

My conversations have included the folks that write policy at the EPA, a bevy of representatives of the California Air Resources Board and the South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) other producers like Brandt Clupper from EcoLife;  Leif and Matt Rudolf from Piedmont; and marketers like Jason Burroughs of DieselGreen, and one or two NBB committee members.

It is something that I will be talking about to the NBB leadership as well.

Twelve years ago when the soy farmers and NBB began lobbying for the mandated use of agribiodiesel, the focus was on obtaining as large a piece of the diesel fuel market as possible. At that time there had not been a large amount of salient research related to land use, oil yield per acre, or feedstock availability to indicate what the actual supply capability targets should be. And so, one might say blind to the potentially negative consequences, NBB and the other agents of change that wanted to see biodiesel as a viable alternative fuel in the marketplace were ultimately successful in carving out a niche for the creation of the biodiesel industry.

The core problem is that with American diesel utilization averaging more than 65 billion gallons a year, the biodiesel industry does not have the feedstock supply or infrastructure necessary to replace the use of petroleum diesel.  In addition, because the lobbying efforts were for biodiesel as a replacement diesel fuel, the industry has been forced to suffer through a period of price competition related to the price of conventional diesel, a product which is supported by an infrastructure that is nearly a century old and has benefited greatly from a variety of subsidies and taxpayer supported initiatives.

In addition, biodiesel has had to suffer various attacks from the petroleum industry and car manufacturers related to topics ranging from appropriateness for underground storage, pipeline access, and its emissions profile. It continues to suffer these attacks even though it is now widely accepted that ASTM 6751 compliant biodiesel has a smaller COx and particulate matter profile than its petroleum counterpart, and well-cleaned without additives is less toxic than table salt. One might also note that historically the fuel manufacturers rarely bear the brunt of emissions standards issues; the car manufacturers do.

Several states have adopted biodiesel as a fuel additive, in percentages ranging from 2 – 20%.  Auto manufacturers for the most part have agreed to support some level of biodiesel mixed in with petroleum as long as the petroleum diesel meets the ASTM D975 specification and the biodiesel meets the ASTM D6751 specification.

And although it is quite possible to run 100% biodiesel (B100) in a vehicle with great results, the current technology selections of the automotive industry make it difficult for a consumer or fleet manager to find newer vehicles.

In summary: Supply limits adoption. Legislative mandates promote the use of biodiesel, but in many ways inhibit its use as a standalone fuel. The majority of producers have idled their plants because they cannot cost effectively produce sufficient product when it is tied to the price of petroleum diesel.

Fuel additives generally sell for more than the fuel they are added to; our system seems designed in such a way as to consign biodiesel to a fuel additive category without wanting to increase what the consumer needs to pay.

Biodiesel may be great as a fuel. It may be better as a fuel additive. It may need to cost more no matter what.

Make it a better place.

Todd